| In
the News |
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Lawyer
fingers city in Joburg landlord saga
- 18 January |
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By Anna Cox
The City of
Johannesburg has deliberately misinterpreted a
Constitutional Court ruling and is misleading landlords,
telling them to pay off their tenants' arrears in order
to recover its R7,1-billion debt.
So says attorney Robert
Martindale, who originally took the matter to the court
on behalf of landlords whose tenants have run up bills
as high as R2-million.
He said the city was
now printing on its accounts: "Be advised that
landlords are liable for their tenant arrears in terms
of the Constitutional Court ruling on 6/10/2004."
Martindale accused the
city of exploiting public ignorance and ignoring
important issues that the Constitutional Court raised.
He said there was widespread misunderstanding of the
ruling and that no court had made any such judgement
that landlords were liable for their tenants' arrears.
"The court did not
state this either directly or indirectly. It simply
ruled on the validity of a section of the Local
Government Municipal Systems Act and the Provincial
Government Ordinance regarding the controversial
clearance certificate laws, which require all debts to
be paid before a certificate can be issued for the
transfer of immovable property.
"It found that
this was constitutionally valid. The validity of a law
relating to the issuing of a clearance certificate is a
very different legal issue to whether an owner is liable
for his or her tenant's arrears.
"It is regrettable
that the note on the accounts may indicate to the public
either ignorance or a scheme of subterfuge," he
said.
"The fact that the
relevant portion of the note is in inverted commas and
commences with the words 'be advised' indicates that the
city is trying to create a definite impression that
either the sentence is quoted from the Constitutional
Court judgement or it is an authoritative legal
directive."
Martindale said the
note was disturbing because it "not only attributes
something to the Constitutional Court that the court was
at pains not to decide, but no doubt many landlords have
simply paid their tenants' debt based on the misleading
information."
He said the note should be removed immediately.
"The misleading
statement will no doubt complicate a complex legal
situation that is going to be difficult and |
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expensive to unravel, and
could have the effect of exploiting public confusion and
ignorance," he said.
These, and a number of
other issues, would be addressed in the pending
Johannesburg High Court case of Transfer Rights Action
Campaign versus Johannesburg and Ekurhuleni Metros.
Furthermore, the city
was still not cutting people off when their arrears
started growing, the excuse always being that the
tenants illegally reconnected themselves.
"However, they do
not prosecute or arrest people who do this and they are
still not advising landlords when the arrears start
mounting," Martindale said.
City of Johannesburg
spokesperson Mandy Woods said: "We disagree that
the message is intended to mislead ratepayers.
"If the statement
creates any misconceptions insofar as the Constitutional
Court judgement is concerned, these are unintentional
and are regretted.
"The intention of
the wording on the statements was twofold. Firstly, to
ensure that landlords were made aware of their
responsibility so that they would not be unpleasantly
surprised when they attempted to sell their property and
found that there were outstanding consumer amounts to be
paid before the transfer could take place; and secondly,
to advise landlords that they are entitled to request
duplicate accounts.
"It is our
intention to point out the practical effect of the
judgement to ratepayers, which is that, in certain
circumstances, landlords may have to see to it that
tenants' arrears are taken care of before their
properties can be sold.
"Unfortunately
space constraints do not allow for a detailed
explanation of the 83-page Constitutional Court
judgement. However, the full judgement is available on
the City's website at www.joburg.org.za
Woods said the city
found it "regrettable that Mr Martindale has chosen
to focus on an unintentional possible misconception
rather than the true purpose of the statement, which is
to alert the general public to the practical
consequences of the judgement."
- This article was
originally published on page 1 of The
Star on January 18, 2005
Published on the Web
by IOL on 2005-01-18 12:55:00
IOL
website |
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Fairview
row continues despite ruling
- 14 January |
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The Fairview and Salisbury
Park land dispute in Port Elizabeth’s western suburbs
is set to continue despite a recent court ruling giving
Port Elizabeth Land Restitution and Housing Association
the go-ahead for the development and re-distribution of
the land.
Opposing the court
decision, affected land claimants, through their
representative body, the Concerned Land Claimants’
Organisation, filed for an urgent application in the
Port Elizabeth High Court yesterday, seeking leave to
appeal against the court ruling. The ruling was made by
Land Claims Court Chief Justice Fikile Bam in November
last year, giving the go-ahead for the servicing and
re-distribution of the land. Bam reserved judgment in
the leave to appeal application.
In view of the urgency
of the matter, attorney Lionel Alexander expressed his
hope yesterday that a decision on the application would
be taken this week, as the visiting judge was in Port |
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Elizabeth at least until
the end of this week.
CLCO argued in their
application that there was a strong possibility that
another court might come to a different conclusion in
the matter. Pelrha opposed the application.
About a year ago, CLCO
applied to the Land Claims Court seeking a restraining
order against Pelrha, the minister of land affairs and
other interested parties from proceeding with the
transfer of the land to more than 500 claimants.
The claimants are
families who were forcefully removed from Fairview and
Salisbury Park under the Group Areas Act during the
apartheid era.
One of the main gripes
CLCO has against the land transfers taking place is that
the claimants will not be getting their original plots
back despite the fact that a large portion of the land
remains undeveloped.
The
Herald Online website |
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Landlord
aims to shame tenants
- 18 January |
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Cindy Preller
Port Elizabeth - A
furious homeowner has put up a 2.4m x 1.2m board outside
his house, lashing out at a court decision regarding
tenants who refuse to pay rent.
"No rent from
tenants for six months. Court gives them another five
months," reads the board outside the Kabega Park
house.
Buks Bekker, a
Graaff-Reinet businessman, said the agent he had
appointed to find tenants assured him they would pay
rent.
"But, I never
heard from her again," he said, adding that the
people living in his house were "full of
stories".
Bekker then decided to
have the lease declared null and void and to give the
tenants notice to vacate the property.
In December, he decided
to let his employees move into the house. But, the
tenants refused to budge and simply relocated to the
garden cottage.
Husband on unpaid sick
leave
This month, the case
ended up in court. But the verdict upset Bekker
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more. The tenants were
given until May 28 to find alternate accommodation.
One of the tenants,
Sharon Vosloo, 44, said she could not believe how she,
her ill husband, John, her mother-in-law and three young
sons had been treated by Bekker.
"We have had no
money to pay rent because my husband is on unpaid sick
leave.
"My husband is in
a wheelchair after a motorbike accident. Everything has
been going wrong for us, but Mr Bekker would not
listen," said Vosloo.
"What has happened
to human decency? All we want is time to get back on our
feet.
"There have been
threats to cut off the water and electricity to the
cottage where we are all living. We also have
rights," she said.
Edited by Iaine
Harper
News24
website
Source :
Alastair |
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Land
scandal triggers probe
- 24 January |
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Justin Arenstein
Badplaas, Mpumalanga -
Forensic auditors are preparing a hard-hitting
"prosecution" dossier on alleged profiteering
in the dodgy R72m land restitution deal in Mpumalanga's
Badplaas valley.
National land claims
commissioner Tozi Gwanya confirmed that two separate
independent investigation teams had each been granted
one week extensions to "beef up" their reports
for possible criminal prosecution.
"I haven't yet
seen even an executive summary, but it is already very
clear that there are serious gaps in the (purchase)
processes, and that there will in all likelihood be
legal action," said Gwanya.
The investigations were
sparked by a media expose last year into the apparent
systematic manipulation of sales prices for 21 vegetable
and dairy farms in the Badplaas valley.
Initial evidence
indicates that land speculators, allegedly working with
Land Commission officials, fraudulently inflated land
prices on gazetted farms and then over-charged the
taxpayer up to 2000% in one instance and 300% on at
least six other transactions.
Forensic auditors
Ernest & Young are taking sworn affidavits from
witnesses.
"We initially
thought that we'd get to the bottom of the allegations
very quickly, but the case has turned out to be far more
complicated than expected.
Mpumalanga land claims
commissioner Nceba Nqana and local project manager Linda
Mbatha were both suspended last year for their alleged
roles in the scandal.
The issuing of
guarantees
Gwanya also took
personal control of the Nelspruit Land Claims Commission
office. |
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"I've restructured
the entire office, have appointed three new programme
managers, and 'am in the process of appointing 30 new
project co-ordinators to beef up on research and the
verification of land claims," said Gwanya.
The second leg of the
investigation, by SA Institute of Valuers executive
member Derrick Griffiths is meanwhile still probing
possible criminal collusion by private sector land
valuators.
Amongst the farm deals
Griffiths is reviewing is the sale of Doornhoek which
was sold to government for R5.7m in 2003 - just months
after speculators bought it from the original owner for
R250 000.
Local developers claim
Nqana irregularly helped land speculators set up the
deals by issuing illegal financial guarantees to help
them bankroll the scam.
In one case, Nqana's
office allegedly issued a guarantee in favour of local
farmer Pieter Visagie, allowing him to purchase Vygeboom
farm for R1.6m in 2002.
Nqana then bought the
farm from Visagie just months later for R4.4m - even
though the LCC's own experts warned that the property
was worth a maximum of R2.9m.
Nqana has consistently
refused to answer 51 detailed written questions on the
matter, but Visagie has formally denied any wrongdoing
and dismissed critics as opponents of land reform.
The local farmers'
union, Agri Badplaas, has also come to Visagie's defence
and has condemned the investigation as a smear campaign.
Edited by Mahap
Msiza
Finance24
website |
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MEC
to visit Bergville for land dispute
- 21 January |
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Agriculture MEC Gabriel
Ndabandaba and his department head, Jabulani Mjwara, will
today visit Bergville for the first time since a farmer,
Lister Vickers, dug a trench on November 10, 2004 in which
five-year-old Mzanywa Mazibuko drowned in December.
Vickers ignored a court order
instructing him to fill in the trench he dug around tenants'
homes in a land dispute.
Ndabandaba said Vickers must
explain why he did not fill in the trench when ordered to do
so.
The purpose of the trip is
for Ndabandaba and Mjwara to "visit the Bergville
community to witness the situation in the area and listen to
the people's needs and the Mazibuko family, while the case is
pending". |
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He will also hand over R2
000 to the family as assistance from the department.
On his way to attend
Mzanywa's funeral three weeks ago, Ndabandaba's
helicopter was grounded in the Drakensberg by bad
weather.
Ndabandaba spent two
days in the mountains, together with two reporters, the
pilot and his bodyguard before being rescued on the
Monday morning.
As a result, Ndabandaba
could not attend the funeral, nor did he get a chance to
speak to family members.
duma@witness.co.za
Witness
website |
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Resolving
the land issue
- 14 January |
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Since 1995, 56 650 of a total
of 79 000 land claims have been settled, and the remaining
claims will probably be settled by 2006. Compared with
Australia, New Zealand and Canada, the country’s restitution
model is world-class. Not only does it offer claimants
alternatives to restoring their right to the land, but it
compensates owners to the value of the land too. In terms of
agricultural land redistribution and land tenure reform, South
Africa has avoided the |
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expropriation route that
Zimbabwe took in the interests of fostering national
reconciliation. The target is to have 30% of white-owned
agricultural land in the hands of black farmers by 2015.
Progress to date has been slow, but the target is within
reach.
Excerpt from The Bones
Foretell
Business
in Africa website |
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57 247
land claims settled at cost of R4,4bn
- 19 January |
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The Commission on
Restitution of Land Rights has processed 57 247
land claims, involving more than 26 000 households
and 160 000 beneficiaries since 1994. The process
has cost the government more than R4,4-billion.
Chief land claims
commissioner Tozi Gwanya, who is holding his regular
quarterly meeting with provincial commissioners in Cape
Town, said most of the claims handled so far – 15 954
– had been in the Eastern Cape, followed by Gauteng
with 11 945 and KwaZulu-Natal with 10 554.
Gwanya said urban
claims, the bulk of which occurred in Gauteng and the
Western Cape, were relatively simple to deal with
because they were easier to research and secure
documentation for.
"We find rural
claims very challenging, very difficult to
process," he said.
Rural claims were
complicated by the high cost of land, which had to be
paid out on a formula based on market value; the need
for sometimes protracted negotiations with landowners
and claimants; and resolving disputes within claimant
communities themselves.
Particularly
problematic claims were not being simply pushed to the
back of the queue, as the attention they received from
the media and politicians was "stretching us"
to pay attention to them, Gwanya said.
The commission
supported all the claimants who opted for land
restoration and has spent R300,6-million on restitution
discretionary grants and R132,5-million on settlement
planning grants.
More than R2,3-billion
has been spent |
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on financial compensation
as a form of restitution and R1,66-billion on the
acquisition of land.
All 22 447
unresolved land restitution claims were likely to be
settled by the end of this year, according to Gwanya.
"We have increased
our staff capacity to ensure that each claim is
prioritised. We are confident that we are doing
everything possible," he said.
The outstanding 13 247
urban claims would be settled by the end of March,
leaving 9 200 rural claims to be settled by the end
of the year.
The commission would
have to finish its business – including compiling a
completion report – by the end of the year, as
directed by President Thabo Mbeki.
"We don’t have a
job (after that date)," he said. "But we have
been committed to this process for some time and we
would like to see it to the finish."
Critics have said the
government has been too slow in dealing with land reform
and that urgent action is vital to avoid land seizures
such as those in Zimbabwe.
The government has long
asserted that its land reform process will be done in an
orderly, legal and transparent manner, unlike the
invasions of white-owned commercial farms in Zimbabwe.
Land Minister Thoko
Didiza said last October that South Africa would have to
spend some R13-billion to resolve its outstanding
claims.
The
Herald Online website |
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Land
restitution does not assure economic welfare
- 19 January |
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Saliem Fakir
Johannesburg
Land reform is a highly
emotive issue in SA, and its resolution is always tied
up with the painful memory of a bloodied past and
ideological rifts.
However, genuine grief
and the need to restore dignity and sense of community
are important motives for the return to lost land.
And along with these
imperatives lies the prospect of a happy future once the
land has been acquired. But claimants often expect too
much.
Land reform's success
is being measured by the number of land claims settled
and land purchased through the official policy of
willing buyer, willing seller. The official
preoccupation is to ratchet up the land-transfer
numbers. Little time is given to the post-settlement
issue.
But what happens
afterwards? In a case study we have been working on in
the Riemvasmaak area a number of issues regarding local
support and community capacity are emerging. These hold
lessons for future land claimants and also foretell the
direction of rural development as prospects for success
are dim in the remotest areas.
On March 27 1996 the
Riemvasmaak people were officially handed back 70000ha
of their land, and last year an additional 4500ha ( part
of the Augrabies National Park). They were removed from
this land in 1973 to make way for a military zone.
Riemvasmaak is a
community of about 3000 people. Local employment is
erratic and wages are low. The majority of households
(76,7%) live below the poverty line, and the average net
household income is R650 a month.
The main source of
income is wage labour at nearby commercial farms, some
income from livestock rearing and supplementary income
from remittances or social grants to the elderly and for
children.
This income provides
too low a capital base to be meaningfully ploughed into
useful enterprise s that would assures long-term
selfsustainability. The Riemvasmaak area is typical of
most community projects in SA and is a useful
illustration of the post-settlement challenges we face
in SA.
We found no shortage of
government funds, donor grants and private philanthropy.
In some cases grantees who had to form communal property
associations to qualify and earn legal title found
themselves in a poverty trap, worse off than they were
before. Factors such as conflicts over distribution of
benefits among association members, inappropriate land
use, lack of capital, inexperience, and distant markets
and services worsen poverty.
The road to economic
opportunity is unfamiliar to many communities because of
the new skills required to tap into unconventional areas
of production and enterprise. This is made worse by a
history of loss of local knowledge and deskilling due to
poor education.
At Riemvasmaak turning
former farm labourers into ecotourism operators was not
an easy step. Since 1999 several ecotourism projects
have been initiated in the area with help from local
municipalities, nongovernmental organisations (NGOs) and
donors, but they were not entirely successful.
Northern Cape is also
notorious for having a significant problem with brain
drain; the best and most skilled go to |
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the major cities for
employment and the opportunities available there.
Without economic prospects in the hinterland, the
incentive to stay for those who can make a difference is
slim.
Second, without
sustained local economic development, local government
cannot retrieve levies, rents or fees for services
rendered because of high unemployment and no commerce.
Local governments thus become cash-strapped.
All this raises the
question of whether it is worthwhile spending scarce
public funds on rural development in these areas.
Assisting community
development is fraught with difficulties, and well-
intentioned government officials and NGOs often find
themselves in a moral twist.
Some successes do
happen, however, such as the Makuleke community, which
won the right to land in the north of the Kruger
National Park. With considerable outside assistance and
willing private-sector investment in an ecotourism
venture, prospects for the Makuleke look promising.
But this case cannot
necessarily be replicated or guaranteed because of its
reliance on external expertise and knowledge.
Riemvasmaak, for
example, does not have the advantage of the stellar
attraction which the Makuleke have the Kruger National
Park and other private game reserves, which serve as a
magnet for tourists.
Riemvasmaak also
suffers from weak social capital among its communal
property association members, indecision about how to
use outside help, and how to use the land (livestock
herders tend to dominate the water holes) and distance
from major markets. These factors make an investment a
risky venture. However, the capacity to organise,
maintain internal solidarity and ensure equity among
members is critical for success.
Despite these hurdles,
things can be changed. Prospects for Riemvasmaak's
people are better than those of most other communities.
There is the possibility of planting vineyards on 10ha
of prime land, there are small mining opportunities and
the possibility of game farming on the newly acquired
4500ha (which can also be leased to the conservation
authority). These options can open the doors to income
diversification.
But at the moment these
prospects lie dormant due to lack of entrepreneurial
skill and capital, and the need to fend off the
encroachment of more established enterprises.
Riemvasmaak, like many communities, has an uncertain
future; in each direction they face a heap of
challenges.
Like the Makuleke they
need considerable external assistance to lay a
foundation for the future. Some of this is being
provided by local government, the national parks
authority and NGOs.
But this aid cannot
last forever. And can the Makuleke and Riemvasmaak
projects be replicated for thousands of other land
claimants not lucky to be the darlings of donors and
NGOs, and have a high public profile ? What then of
their future, and who should fill the gap?
Fakir is director of
the IUCN (World Conservation Union) office in SA.
AllAfrica
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Farming
is not for sissies
- 20 January |
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Never an easy life,
farming promises to test the mettle of many farmers this
year. Surviving these trials – and the many joys –
of nature, markets and regulation may depend on the
industry’s reliance on sound business principles.
Role players in the
agricultural sector certainly are not a homogenous lot.
Farmers vary in the scale, location and type of their
operations; their access to education, finance, inputs
and markets differ. Then there are the related
industries, which range from cooperatives to companies,
who sell inputs ranging from seed to services; these,
too, vary in size and sophistication.
Many will be touched this year by the process of
completion of land restitution, the establishment of a
BEE charter for the industry, drought in parts of the
country, slipping grain prices, the vagaries of a
still-strong exchange rate, minimum-wage legislation and
property taxes.
Christo Luüs, Absa chief economist, suggests that
successful farmers will be those that apply innovation
and business sense, who think and plan carefully, and
who run their operations along business principles.
Lourie Bosman, president of the agricultural union
AgriSA, told RSG se Geldsake met Moneyweb that progress
with the formulation of a BEE charter for the industry
is one of this year’s challenges.
Having accepted comments on the draft document, the
steering committee tasked with drawing up a charter has
made this feedback available to all role players for
discussion. Participants are expected to negotiate
around a number of thorny issues, including black
empowerment through access to land, participation in the
industry and economic development, in the hope of
reaching agreement.
Graham Ebedes, non-executive deputy chairman of the
agricultural services business Afgri, is emphatic that
the industry’s BEE efforts have to consider the huge
disparities amongst farmers. "One cannot consider
treating all farmers – whether they have a thousand
head of cattle or ten cows – the same way; in what
other industry is a three-man business, say, expected to
demonstrate how it has empowered its staff?".
There are other points of contention, too. Bosman
expresses concern about the inclusion of new targets for
land reform in the guideline BEE document. "The
suggestion that land should be made available to
employees is a highly emotional issue that could put
existing farmers’ survival at risk". He argues
that land ownership is guaranteed by the constitution,
and that any proposed change to the status quo does not
belong in a BEE charter.
Ebedes argues that the crux of empowerment in
agriculture ought to be skills transfer; without it
empowerment will fail. "Farming is an incredibly |
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complicated business,
demanding accounting and administrative skills, the
management of livestock and survival in a harsh
climate". Handing over a farming operation to
someone who has had no training in the necessary
disciplines is likely to end in tears.
While these empowerment issues may be painful and
threatening to farmers in many family run operations,
they are more straightforward to operators in the
commercial operations that feed off the agricultural
sector. Agri-businesses have forged ahead with the
implementation of share schemes and other ownership
structures, for instance, consistent with the spirit of
empowerment.
Parched land, poor
profits
Bosman says drought in regions across the country,
including the Western Cape and parts of the Free State,
will have a material effect on farming production. This,
the downward pressure on the international prices of
grains and rand strength, are placing financial strain
on a notable portion of farmers. "Low prices are
preventing farmers from functioning profitably;
meanwhile rand strength is squeezing exporters’
returns. These factors have an impact on farmers’
ability to survive," Bosman says.
Although Bosman says that those in the agricultural
sector are accustomed to the changeability of nature and
markets, it is essential that they are aware of the
cycles of drought and rain that may create crisis
situations. "We suggest that farmers plan for these
crises through building up reserves".
Land restitution is another item on this year’s
agricultural agenda; its conclusion would end the
uncertainty that pending claims has created in
agriculture – for both claimants and those whose
properties are the subject of claims. Bosman is pleased
at the chief land claims commissioner Tozi Gwanya’s
estimate that all rural land claims will be settled by
the end of this year. Of the 22 447 outstanding claims,
9 200 are for rural properties. But Bosman is sceptical
about the viability of the deadline, pointing out that
there is a significant budget shortfall for the land
claims process. "R4-bn has already been spent and
another R13-bn will be needed to finalise the process.
However, the fact that there is only R4-bn left in the
budget could get in the way of a speedy conclusion of
the matter".
Despite the landmark and potentially thorny events on
the agricultural calendar this year, the sector is
blessed with a number of pluses, too. Luüs points to
low interest rates and firm domestic demand, ongoing
productivity improvements and better access to
international markets.
Erika van der Merwe is a presenter of "RSG se
Geldsake met Moneyweb"; weekdays 5pm-6pm on
Radiosondergrense.
Moneyweb
website |
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Landlords
score on big retail sales
- 24 January |
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By Dirk De Vynck
Cape Town - The
consumer spending spree of the past two years has not
only been good for retailers, but also for the landlords
of shopping centres, who have seen their turnover
clauses kicking in and securing them extra income on top
of the base rentals they charge.
Neil Schloss, sector
head of retail property management at Investec Property
Group, said that the landlords of shopping centres
negotiated a base rental with tenants as well as a
turnover clause - a percentage of sales - which kicked
in if sales exceeded a certain level.
"Turnover clauses
have secured the landlords of shopping centres a
meaningful amount on top of the base rental they
formally receive for at least the last two years, and
this is at no additional cost to them," he said.
Schloss added that the
growth in retailers' turnovers was in excess of the
escalation rate on rentals, which for national retailers
was around 7 percent to 8 percent.
The norm for national
supermarkets' turnover clauses was between 1.5 percent
and 2 percent of turnover, while national clothing
retailers like Edgars, Foschini and Truworths normally
had a rate of between 3.5 and 6 percent.
Restaurants' turnover
clauses were normally closer to 10 percent, while the
broader service industry did not have any turnover
clauses in their contracts.
Schloss said the
company seldom set turnover clauses higher than 10
percent, as it could be detrimental to the financial
viability of the tenant.
A core aspect in
determining the rate of |
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the turnover clause was
the profit margin
at which each retailer traded.
That is why
supermarkets, which traditionally have very low margins,
had such low turnover clauses, and why clothing
retailers that had higher margins had their turnover
clauses set at superior rates.
Traditionally national
retailers also paid a lower rate than comparable independent
retailers. However, although most lease negotiations were done
around the benchmark, different approaches could be followed.
For instance, Schloss said a
tenant could opt for a lower base rate in return for a
higher-than-normal turnover clause.
He added that there was
always downward pressure on turnover clauses from tenants,
more so in good times when the clauses kicked in. This was
because the turnover payable according to the turnover clause
was an extra cost on top of the base rental.
Property economist Francois
Viruly said retailers were always out to improve their trading
densities, which of course was good for landlords' turnover
clauses.
Angelique de Rauville, chief
executive of property asset management company Provest, said
the buoyant performance in the retail market would transpire
into listed property, where funds that had exposure to quality
retail properties were expected to outperform the market.
These included Grayprop,
Sycom and Hyprop, which she projected to show earnings growth
in excess of the broader sector's forecast of 4 percent to 6
percent.
Business
Report website |
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SA
property bubble not about to burst
- 21 January |
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A new global survey shows
that nowhere else in the world have house prices increased
more than in South Africa.
According to the survey,
house prices in South Africa increased by an average of 32,6%
in 2004, followed by Hong Kong at 27,2% and Spain at 17,2%.
The survey was undertaken by
ResearchWorldwide.com - a commercial real-estate information
portal. The Economist provided ResearchWorldwide.com with the
figures for South Africa.
With this global assessment
on property prices, ReasearchWorldwide.com warns against
rumours of a pessimistic future view.
"Booming house prices in
many countries worldwide over the past few years have prompted
such august bodies as the International Monetary Fund, The
Economist and many others to predict that the global
house-price bubble will inevitably burst. These predictions,
which started in 2002, are currently intensifying.
"Like everywhere else in
the world, opinions have been expressed of the possibility of
a bubble situation in South Africa. Those rumours should not
be taken too serious," Andrew Golding, chief executive of
the Pam Golding Property Group, told the Mail & Guardian
Online this week.
"An increase of 32,6% is
not sustainable but we believe that, given the dynamics in the
South African property market, an increase of 12% over 2005
can be expected.
"There are a number of
reasons why the South African market is a bubble that is not
about to burst," said Golding.
"The economic indicators
point to a strong real-estate market. The South African
economy is still growing and the |
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sentiment is high.
"Secondly, there is an
emerging middle class that is benefiting for the first time
from this economic growth. For this group, home ownership is
an absolute priority.
"Real estate has proven
to be a solid investment; we see more and more investors
choosing property".
ResearchWorldwide.com
emphasises that rumours of a bursting bubble in some countries
must be assessed individually. The property market cannot be
compared with the stock market.
"Individual
peculiarities of each country must be assessed from a demand,
supply and affordability point of view to arrive at a
realistic outlook for worldwide house prices in 2005.
"Each country has its
own unique set of circumstances, which affect demand, supply
and the affordability of housing. The residential market is an
imperfect and inefficient market and should not be compared to
the perfection and efficiency of stock markets and bond
markets around the world," says ResearchWorldwide.com.
"South Africa ... long
suffered from political uncertainty, which caused reduced
demand from 1984 to 1999," states ResearchWorldwide.com.
"The housing market in
South Africa took off strongly in 2000, six years after the
first democratic elections ... During the boom phase since
2000, South Africa has experienced a 17% [a year] rise in
house prices in nominal rates, and 11% [a year] in real terms.
"After 15 years
(1984-1999) of negative growth in house prices, in real terms,
11% [a year] since 2000 is still playing 'catch up'".
Mail
& Guardian website |
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